The Diplomat#039s Assistant Editor Harry Kazianis speaks with Matthew Kroenig, associate professor at Georgetown University and Stanton nuclear security fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, to discuss Iranrsquos nuclear weapons program:
Please give us your thoughts on the latest IAEA report on Iran#039s nuclear program.
The report is significant because an independent international organization has provided detailed evidence that Iran has conducted work on nuclear weaponization. This makes it much harder for Iran to claim that it#039s only interested in nuclear energy, and shifts the debate from whether Iran is developing nuclear weapons to what to do about Iranrsquos nuclear weapons program.Enjoying this article? Click here to subscribe for full access. Just $5 a month.
Do you feel there is any ldquosmoking gunrdquo that implicates Iran in trying to build a nuclear weapon?
The report describes research and experiments conducted by Iranian scientists that are only relevant to the production of nuclear weapons. They have no other plausible rationale.
In your view, is it Iranrsquos intention to develop a nuclear weapon outright, or develop the capability to have therdquo abilityrdquo if regional tensions dictate such a move? Is the ldquoabilityrdquo enough of a deterrent alone?
I believe that Iranrsquos ultimate objective is to have a declared nuclear arsenal. Experts assess that Tehranrsquos strategic goals are to be able to deter an Israeli or U.S. attack and to become the preeminent power in the region. To achieve these ambitious goals, a latent nuclear capability (what some call the Japan model) isn#039t enough.
If Iran were to progress to the point of having all necessary materials to develop and deploy a nuclear weapon, how would regional powers like Saudi Arabia and Iraq respond? Could a nuclear arms race in the Middle East be a possibility?
I think we are already beginning to see a growing interest in nuclear technology and possibly nuclear weapons in a number of states in the region. As Iranrsquos program progresses, this interest will only intensify. A regional nuclear arms race is one of the many possible negative consequences of Iranrsquos nuclear program.
With much talk surrounding a possible Israeli nuclear strike, if Israel were to choose such an option, with much of Iranrsquos nuclear facilities being deep underground, would they be effective in doing much damage?
Outside military analysts have assessed in public documents that Israel has the capability to destroy Iranrsquos nuclear facilitiesmdasheven those that are buried and hardened.
If Iran were to gain the ability to deploy a viable nuclear weapon, with its current missile inventory, what type of range would it have? Would U.S. SM-3 Aegis sea based platforms be able to defend against such a weapon?
Iran currently possesses ballistic missiles capable of targeting most of the Middle East and even parts of southern Europe. US ballistic missile defenses could provide protection against an attack from a few stray missiles, but they would be overwhelmed by a larger salvo. (责任编辑：彩票代购网站源码) 本文地址：http://www.troxtabo.com/dangjiredian/jintiao/201909/3646.html